AML
by Xingjian Wu, Xiangfei Qiu, Hongfan Gao, Jilin Hu, Bin Yang, Chenjuan Guo • Published May 31, 2025 at 04:00 AM
Research

$K^2$VAE: A Koopman-Kalman Enhanced Variational AutoEncoder for Probabilistic Time Series Forecasting

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The paper introduces $K^2$VAE, a VAE-based generative model that improves long-term probabilistic time series forecasting by transforming nonlinear dynamics into a linear system using KoopmanNet and refining predictions with KalmanNet, thereby reducing error accumulation. Extensive experiments show that $K^2$VAE outperforms existing methods in both short- and long-term forecasting, offering a more efficient and accurate approach.

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